2009 Predicted NCAA WINS generated by a Computer Program

2008 / 2009 NCAA Mens Div-IA Basketball

Rank

2008/09 Team

 Wins

 Losses

Comp-Wins

Def-Rating

1

North Carolina

33

4

34.8

88.13

2

Michigan State

31

7

30.8

92.70

3

Louisville

31

6

31.8

89.01

4

Duke

30

7

31.4

89.96

5

Connecticut

31

5

31.8

89.79

6

Villanova

30

8

30.9

90.76

7

Pittsburgh

30

5

30.2

89.75

8

Missouri

30

7

31.2

88.45

9

Memphis

33

4

32.8

91.38

10

Oklahoma

30

6

29.7

89.07

11

Syracuse

27

10

28.6

88.80

12

Purdue

27

10

29.3

92.06

13

Kansas

27

8

28.7

89.69

14

West Virginia

23

12

28.0

89.65

15

Baylor

24

15

27.2

87.87

16

Oklahoma State

23

12

25.3

85.13

17

Xavier

27

8

26.9

89.04

18

UCLA

26

9

27.3

85.53

19

Marquette

25

10

26.0

84.63

20

Washington

25

9

25.3

84.81

21

Arizona State

25

10

26.2

88.40

22

Gonzaga

27

6

27.4

85.62

23

Tennessee

21

13

23.9

83.93

24

Texas

23

12

24.8

86.48

25

Kentucky

22

14

25.9

87.25

26

USC

22

13

24.1

88.62

27

Illinois

24

10

24.6

86.44

28

Florida

25

11

26.2

83.93

29

Penn State

27

11

25.2

87.80

30

Notre Dame

20

15

23.2

83.98

31

LSU

27

8

24.8

83.30

32

Michigan

20

14

22.2

87.59

33

Arizona

21

14

22.4

85.03

34

Siena

27

8

24.0

82.87

35

Maryland

21

14

22.2

86.03

36

Florida State

25

10

22.6

87.93

37

Auburn

23

12

23.7

85.13

38

Temple

22

12

22.6

85.83

39

Georgetown

16

15

21.2

86.71

40

San Diego State

24

10

23.2

85.72

41

Ohio State

22

11

21.9

86.78

42

Utah

24

9

22.7

85.69

43

Dayton

27

8

23.1

87.21

44

Virginia Commonwealth

24

10

23.5

83.53

45

Mississippi State

22

13

22.5

85.37

46

California

22

11

22.1

84.98

47

Wisconsin

19

13

20.8

86.94

48

BYU

24

8

23.6

82.83

49

Clemson

23

9

23.0

81.29

50

Texas A&M

23

10

21.4

86.26

51

Davidson

26

8

24.6

83.31

52

Kansas State

21

12

22.8

83.31

53

Creighton

27

8

23.5

82.43

54

Wake Forest

24

7

22.4

81.39

55

UTEP

23

14

22.6

82.69

56

UAB

22

12

22.5

84.00

57

Rhode Island

23

11

22.3

80.99

58

Virginia Tech

19

15

20.5

84.38

59

Washington State

17

16

21.0

87.52

60

Tulsa

24

11

22.1

83.93

61

Niagara

26

9

23.4

81.86

62

New Mexico

22

12

22.7

83.67

63

Miami

18

13

20.3

84.18

64

Illinois State

24

10

22.4

82.72

65

Utah State

29

5

23.3

82.66

66

Boston College

22

12

20.8

82.61

67

George Mason

22

11

21.3

85.51

68

Minnesota

21

11

20.1

85.40

69

Old Dominion

25

10

22.2

84.36

70

Providence

19

14

18.9

80.93

71

Duquesne

21

13

20.5

79.54

72

Nebraska

18

13

19.3

85.03

73

Saint Mary's (CA)

26

7

21.5

82.22

74

Butler

25

6

20.8

83.86

75

Northern Iowa

22

11

19.7

83.63

76

Richmond

19

16

19.9

82.98

77

Cleveland State

23

11

20.7

83.39

78

Bradley

20

15

19.3

82.77

79

Houston

21

12

21.0

81.24

80

South Carolina

21

10

19.9

80.02

81

Stanford

20

14

20.4

80.40

82

Akron

22

13

21.2

82.88

83

James Madison

21

15

20.2

82.32

84

Western Kentucky

24

9

19.8

80.80

85

St. John's

16

18

17.6

83.23

86

Iowa

15

17

17.7

84.17

87

Nevada

20

13

19.0

81.48

88

UNLV

21

11

19.1

82.12

89

Cincinnati

17

14

17.4

82.77

90

Oregon State

16

18

16.9

84.11

91

Ole Miss

16

15

16.9

81.44

92

Seton Hall

16

15

17.1

80.70

93

Texas Tech

13

19

15.6

80.19

94

Robert Morris

24

11

20.3

80.74

95

Saint Joseph's

17

15

17.9

82.32

96

Vermont

24

9

20.9

79.08

97

Vanderbilt

19

12

18.5

81.84

98

Mount Saint Mary's

19

14

19.3

81.79

99

Georgia Tech

12

19

16.2

81.58

100

Northeastern

19

13

17.7

82.71

101

Kent State

18

15

18.4

81.92

102

North Carolina State

16

14

16.9

77.38

103

Wichita State

16

17

17.2

83.19

104

Buffalo

21

12

18.1

83.16

105

Wright State

20

13

18.4

84.17

106

Belmont

20

13

19.0

78.24

107

Rutgers

11

21

15.2

83.88

108

New Mexico State

17

15

17.1

78.49

109

La Salle

18

13

16.8

79.46

110

Miami-Ohio

17

13

16.8

82.96

111

Morgan State

22

12

19.0

81.89

112

Alabama

16

14

16.1

81.20

113

College Of Charleston

26

9

19.1

76.12

114

Fairfield

17

15

15.7

81.84

115

Oakland

22

13

18.7

77.44

116

Arkansas

14

16

15.5

78.04

117

East Tennessee State

21

11

18.8

77.10

118

Wisconsin-Green Bay

21

10

17.9

78.10

119

Drake

16

16

16.8

81.19

120

American

24

8

18.2

79.68

121

Virginia

10

18

13.4

80.56

122

Morehead State

18

16

17.1

79.81

123

Saint Louis

17

14

16.0

82.40

124

Jacksonville

18

14

17.6

77.04

125

DePaul

9

24

13.0

82.30

126

Pacific

20

13

17.9

79.69

127

Idaho

16

16

15.9

82.24

128

South Florida

9

22

13.4

83.96

129

Iowa State

14

17

14.7

80.03

130

Oral Roberts

15

15

16.4

78.91

131

Georgia

12

20

13.8

81.51

132

Evansville

15

14

14.4

79.80

133

Charlotte

11

20

14.6

78.35

134

North Dakota State

24

7

18.5

74.96

135

Towson

12

22

14.2

79.66

136

Rider

19

13

15.8

77.66

137

Ohio

15

17

15.5

79.37

138

Fresno State

12

21

14.8

79.38

139

Cal State Northridge

16

14

15.7

76.57

140

Oregon

8

23

11.2

78.87

141

Southern Illinois

12

18

13.6

80.76

142

Portland

18

13

16.1

77.81

143

Chattanooga

16

17

14.5

78.02

144

South Alabama

19

13

16.2

78.88

145

Missouri State

11

20

13.9

80.92

146

Bowling Green

17

14

15.7

79.49

147

Arkansas-Little Rock

23

8

16.0

78.53

148

Holy Cross

18

14

16.3

79.48

149

Wyoming

17

14

14.2

77.18

150

Marist

10

23

13.6

81.06

151

Sacred Heart

17

14

16.0

76.71

152

Drexel

15

14

14.4

81.69

153

Loyola-Maryland

12

20

13.5

80.37

154

Hofstra

20

11

14.7

80.04

155

Massachusetts

11

18

12.7

77.85

156

Colorado

8

22

12.5

81.59

157

Delaware

13

19

14.2

77.69

158

Iona

12

19

14.5

80.33

159

Boise State

18

13

14.3

77.46

160

Southern Miss

12

17

12.9

78.31

161

North Texas

19

12

15.1

75.49

162

Middle Tennessee

16

14

14.9

76.40

163

Troy

18

13

14.5

74.24

164

Louisiana Tech

15

16

14.9

78.86

165

TCU

13

17

13.5

78.71

166

Cornell

19

10

16.0

74.53

167

Binghamton

22

9

15.2

76.74

168

Santa Clara

14

17

14.4

77.03

169

Marshall

12

17

12.6

76.06

170

Manhattan

16

14

14.2

78.83

171

Boston University

17

13

15.0

78.62

172

UCF

16

14

14.2

76.00

173

The Citadel

18

13

15.0

78.74

174

Weber State

20

10

15.2

76.95

175

Indiana State

10

21

12.3

79.50

176

Canisius

11

20

12.6

78.76

177

Indiana

5

25

9.5

82.51

178

Rice

10

22

11.9

79.02

179

Tulane

13

17

13.0

76.83

180

Illinois-Chicago

15

15

14.3

77.31

181

UC Santa Barbara

15

15

13.8

77.16

182

Portland State

20

10

15.2

74.59

183

Murray State

17

12

14.8

77.02

184

Albany

15

16

13.5

76.93

185

William & Mary

9

20

12.4

79.89

186

Jackson State

18

15

14.6

76.07

187

Colorado State

9

21

12.0

79.75

188

Long Beach State

15

15

13.2

76.50

189

Stephen F. Austin

20

8

15.1

79.78

190

George Washington

10

18

12.1

78.42

191

St. Bonaventure

15

15

13.2

76.88

192

Tennessee-Martin

20

10

15.4

74.48

193

San Diego

14

16

13.3

79.66

194

Wisconsin-Milwaukee

15

14

12.9

78.43

195

Austin Peay

17

14

13.6

73.73

196

Coppin State

12

19

12.4

78.87

197

UMBC

14

17

12.2

77.12

198

Stony Brook

15

14

14.0

77.34

199

Radford

18

12

13.7

75.37

200

Georgia State

10

20

12.0

79.13

201

Navy

19

11

14.3

75.53

202

Idaho State

12

18

12.3

78.45

203

Cal State Fullerton

14

17

13.1

75.60

204

Denver

15

16

14.0

77.11

205

Liberty

19

12

14.0

74.17

206

Hawaii

12

17

12.6

77.43

207

Mercer

16

15

12.8

74.12

208

SMU

8

21

11.0

78.21

209

Hartford

7

26

10.6

77.94

210

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi

15

15

12.9

76.32

211

UC Davis

13

19

13.4

73.16

212

FIU

12

19

11.3

77.48

213

Florida Atlantic

6

26

11.1

76.95

214

Alabama State

20

10

14.8

74.84

215

Northwestern

17

14

8.2

77.72

216

Quinnipiac

15

16

13.1

75.74

217

Hampton

15

16

13.0

79.64

218

Valparaiso

7

22

10.3

79.73

219

UNC Wilmington

7

25

8.6

75.54

220

San Jose State

11

17

11.3

76.72

221

Long Island

16

14

13.6

74.33

222

Western Carolina

14

15

11.6

72.97

223

St. Peter's

11

19

11.5

78.66

224

Central Connecticut

13

17

11.7

75.97

225

Appalachian State

12

18

11.8

74.82

226

Wofford

15

14

11.8

73.96

227

Air Force

8

21

11.0

79.90

228

Ball State

13

17

12.2

77.95

229

Central Michigan

12

19

12.3

76.64

230

Western Michigan

10

20

12.1

77.66

231

Toledo

6

25

9.7

78.80

232

South Dakota State

11

20

11.9

73.95

233

Eastern Kentucky

16

12

13.0

72.30

234

Army

11

19

11.9

77.95

235

Loyola-Chicago

13

17

11.1

77.13

236

Bucknell

7

23

10.0

76.81

237

UC Irvine

12

18

11.4

74.53

238

Lipscomb

15

14

13.5

71.33

239

Samford

14

16

12.1

76.03

240

Centenary

8

23

10.5

75.60

241

New Hampshire

13

16

11.1

77.05

242

Louisiana-Lafayette

9

20

10.4

75.15

243

St. Francis (NY)

10

20

10.7

75.63

244

Arkansas State

11

17

11.6

75.96

245

Bethune Cookman

14

16

12.1

78.24

246

Southern Utah

10

19

10.9

74.22

247

Delaware State

7

23

9.5

78.36

248

Nicholls State

17

11

12.5

75.05

249

Sam Houston State

14

12

11.8

70.61

250

Indiana-Purdue Fort Wayne

12

17

10.6

75.42

251

Wagner

16

14

12.1

75.40

252

Youngstown State

9

19

9.9

75.75

253

Northern Colorado

12

18

11.9

71.67

254

Northwestern State

8

20

12.7

75.18

255

Lehigh

15

14

12.3

74.32

256

Chicago State

17

13

12.6

69.75

257

Presbyterian College

12

17

10.4

76.61

258

Montana State

13

17

10.9

73.61

259

Monmouth

8

23

9.5

75.44

260

Texas Southern

7

25

9.5

74.91

261

Stetson

11

17

9.8

74.58

262

VMI

20

8

12.3

65.22

263

Pennsylvania

10

18

10.2

74.44

264

Texas-Arlington

13

14

11.6

69.90

265

Montana

15

12

11.3

74.77

266

Maine

8

21

9.6

75.10

267

North Dakota

15

15

11.9

70.78

268

Lafayette

8

22

9.4

76.53

269

East Carolina

10

17

9.6

72.39

270

Tennessee Tech

10

18

10.8

73.09

271

Elon

9

20

9.1

73.97

272

South Carolina Upstate

9

21

9.0

74.14

273

Utah Valley State

15

11

12.4

73.08

274

Campbell

12

16

10.9

71.70

275

UC Riverside

16

13

11.2

74.76

276

Winthrop

10

19

9.5

76.09

277

Norfolk State

13

18

11.0

70.20

278

Texas-San Antonio

16

13

11.5

71.70

279

Georgia Southern

7

22

8.3

71.95

280

Detroit

6

23

8.4

77.26

281

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13

18

9.6

75.36

282

Howard

8

23

9.0

75.07

283

Mississippi Valley State

7

25

8.6

73.02

284

Florida Gulf Coast

9

20

9.1

74.45

285

San Francisco

9

19

9.2

74.23

286

South Carolina State

13

14

10.7

73.62

287

Gardner Webb

10

17

9.6

71.12

288

Colgate

10

20

9.3

74.56

289

IUPUI

13

14

10.7

74.48

290

Pepperdine

7

23

7.1

75.46

291

Prairie View A&M

13

16

10.5

72.43

292

Yale

12

15

10.4

74.21

293

Eastern Washington

11

17

9.2

73.91

294

Eastern Michigan

6

24

8.0

76.85

295

Southeastern Louisiana

9

17

9.9

73.16

296

Florida A&M

10

21

8.3

74.41

297

UNC Asheville

12

16

8.8

72.31

298

North Carolina A&T

13

16

10.2

74.24

299

ULM

9

20

8.3

73.13

300

UMKC

7

22

8.4

72.92

301

Cal Poly

7

20

8.9

73.62

302

Columbia

12

16

10.3

73.86

303

New Orleans

10

18

9.0

73.83

304

McNeese State

9

18

10.0

75.30

305

Northern Illinois

9

20

9.5

72.29

306

Eastern Illinois

10

18

9.5

73.21

307

St. Francis (PA)

6

23

7.8

73.39

308

Fordham

3

25

5.3

73.93

309

Fairleigh Dickinson

7

23

7.1

72.71

310

Loyola-Marymount

3

27

5.5

76.92

311

Lamar

11

15

8.6

71.38

312

Texas State

10

16

9.5

69.43

313

Houston Baptist

4

25

6.1

70.93

314

UNC Greensboro

4

25

6.9

73.29

315

Cal State Bakersfield

8

20

8.2

72.11

316

Harvard

13

14

9.7

71.22

317

Bryant

8

21

7.4

76.46

318

Northern Arizona

6

19

8.0

70.73

319

Princeton

12

14

10.0

75.34

320

Jacksonville State

9

17

8.6

70.23

321

Coastal Carolina

8

19

8.7

72.53

322

Brown

9

19

8.1

72.45

323

Tennessee State

11

17

8.4

70.10

324

Furman

4

24

6.2

72.35

325

Southern

8

21

8.1

71.50

326

Maryland Eastern Shore

7

23

6.8

72.62

327

Dartmouth

8

19

7.2

71.69

328

Longwood

13

14

8.3

69.74

329

Western Illinois

8

20

7.3

71.59

330

Charleston Southern

6

20

6.8

70.06

331

High Point

6

21

7.2

71.77

332

Winston-Salem State

6

22

5.7

72.83

333

Southeast Missouri State

2

26

5.1

71.17

334

North Florida

7

22

5.0

72.99

335

Kennesaw State

6

22

5.7

71.17

336

Sacramento State

2

27

4.5

72.44

337

Savannah State

11

14

5.6

72.88

338

Grambling

5

23

5.0

70.41

339

Alcorn State

4

24

4.8

69.65

340

New Jersey Tech

1

30

3.5

71.12

341

Central Arkansas

6

19

4.6

70.48

342

North Carolina Central

3

25

2.6

71.10

343

Alabama A&M

7

17

5.3

69.87

344

Texas-Pan American

6

17

4.6

68.97